Republican strategist Alex Castellanos predicted that Republicans will lose between 40 and 50 seats in the House during the November midterm elections.
In an op-ed published by Politico, Castellanos reasoned that the Republicans will continue to have a firm grasp on the Senate majority, but control of the House would slip away.
“Thanks to a map that puts more Democratic than Republican seats at risk, our party will still cling to control of the Senate, but GOP House members lack insulation: They will crawl out from the smoking rubble of a 40- to 50-seat pounding to find they have lost their majority,” Castellanos wrote.
The political consultant then went on to propose a plan for the GOP to take back their party from President Donald Trump.
“Trump champions a strong national identity by inciting conflict and segregation. His divisive view of America is rooted in resentment and anger,” he said. “A renewed Republican Party and its leaders must recognize people’s fear that America is losing its unifying identity—then argue that our shared belief in one nation is the only thing that can bring all Americans together.”
As the midterm elections draw nearer, candidates and parties have shifted their mindset towards campaigning.
Both parties are currently preparing for the massive battle that will coincide with the elections. Republicans are gearing up to defend their majorities in both the House and the Senate while the Democrats have garnered a purported lead. The Democrats are by 5.5 points on the generic House ballots in the RealClearPolitics average of polls.
The Democrats are defending more than two dozen seats in the Senate, which notably includes 10 states President Trump won in during the presidential election.
Republicans have just eight Senate seats up for re-election.
Interestingly, House members are leaving their seats at a rate that has not been observed in at least a dozen years. The most high-profile departure was announced earlier this month when House Speaker Paul Ryan stated that he would not seek re-election and wished to spend more time with his family.
A majority currently disapproves of President Trump while a plurality disapproves of the Republican tax reform. Much can change in the months before the elections and the GOP hopes to sway the public opinion of the tax plan to boost the party's outcome.
H/T: The Hill