Donald Trump is confident that his second electoral effort will result in a victory. However, there's quite a great deal of evidence that his first term will be his last. Here are nineteen reasons why:
19. His Public Persona
Americans want a president who is inspirational. Someone who is intelligent, well spoken, and articulate.
Trump is anything but that, and he makes no attempts to be. While honesty is appreciated, boorishness, bullish, vile and uncouth behavior is not. It causes the executive branch to loose prestige. And when a nation's leader isn't respected, people worry that their nation itself will suffer.
18. His Internet Conduct
Similarly to the above, the president's internet conduct is frankly deplorable. He's like an overemotional teenager clapping back at his “haters”. Tweeting insults at people and poor grammar aren't presidential. It's a factor that has put many Americans off to him. Who in their right mind wants their president to be less mature than their seventeen year old kid? Unless Trump magically stops tweeting about every little thing that upsets him, it's unlikely he'll win anybody over.
17. He Has a Majority Disapproval Rating
Numbers don't lie, and the numbers don't like Trump. In a recent national poll, 53% of Americans stated they disapprove of the president.
Perhaps if we were at the beginning of a Trump presidency, he might have a chance to come back from this. After all, every new presidency is an adjustment period. This is especially true when the prior presidency was a two term and lasted eight years—several Americans can't really remember a time before Obama was president.
But with the election next November, there is little he could do to change people's minds. They've already decided how they feel about him—and for the most part, it isn't good.
16. The Stock Market is Down
Trump's favorite indicator of economic prosperity is the stock market. Unfortunately for him, the market hasn't been doing too well—the Standard and Poor and the Dow Jones have both bounced around erratically throughout the Trump presidency.
Seems that Trump's on-again-off-again trade wars haven't done wonders for the economy. And the economy is at the forefront of every American's mind—in a world of increasing economic uncertainty, Americans want a president who can make their national market thrive. And it seems that Trump cannot.
15. Likewise, So Are Wages
Similarly to the above, wage growth has been unspectacular. In an already troubling economic time, hardworking Americans aren't seeing much pay off. This is particularly concerning, considering the student loan crisis that's affecting millions of recent college grads, as well as rising housing costs. If wages aren't going up, how are these ordinary Americans supposed to thrive and prosper?
Since Trump has assigned himself responsibility for the economy, it's likely he's going to face the blame.
14. Trump's State Ratings Aren't Much Better
Trump's national polls are down—and it so are his ratings state by state. In Wisconsin, he's down 12. Iowa, down 12. Pennsylvania, down 7, and his rival party is in control of the state house.
His Michigan numbers have not been positive within twenty six months. Based on those four states alone, Trump would lose his 306 electoral college votes. Considering the entire reason Trump won the election was that he won the electoral college, this does not bode well for the future of his campaign.
13. His Children
Trump's family—particularly his oldest three children—are as unpopular as he is. Even those who don't necessarily have a gripe with them personally have an issue with his nepotism.
It's unlikely anyone will want a Trump dynasty. Americans are notoriously independent. And one of the by products of breaking away from an imperial royal power that bases its leadership on bloodlines is distrusting those who seek to consolidate power within their own families. Trump has made it abundantly clear that his ideal world is one in which the white house is passed down to each of his offspring. Americans are not here for it.
12. The Jobs He's Promised Aren't Appearing
Trump proclaimed himself as a champion of the average, working class American. He's on their side, eager to protect them from boogeymen immigrants. It's not the fault of the 1% and his large, corporate buddies that they're suffering. No, it's the immigrants!
Not only is he clearly anything but, the manufacturing jobs he's promised them are not appearing. Seems that Trump's fellow big-wigs would rather invest in cheap labor than their own countrymen. Even his staunchest supporters are beginning to get frustrated. After all, if you voted for someone because they promised to get you a job, wouldn't you be angry if they didn't deliver?
11. He's a Potential Sexual Predator
Trump has been accused of sexual harassment by several women. His ex-wife, Ivana, accused him of rape. Despite the fact she later backed off on this claim, it is the sort of thing that cannot be taken back. People are always going to remember it. In the age of #MeToo, a president who is an accused sexual predator doesn't sit well with most. And even if some of the accusations against Trump are false, they'll always be in the back of people's minds.
10. His Ukraine Phone Calls
Trump's phone calls to the Ukrainian president, as well as his conduct following, have left a bad taste in the mouth of many Americans.
At best, he's childishly searching for dirt on a political rival. At worst, he's inviting international interference in U.S political affairs. Neither of these are something Americans want to see their president doing. And considering the house voted to impeach him for it, it's unlikely anyone will be forgetting about it any time soon, regardless of what moves the Senate makes.